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Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas

$30.00

1 in stock

1 in stock

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great’s lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they’re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the ‘experts’, \”The Black Swan\” shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertainty.

Format: Paperback
Pages: 480
Imprint: Penguin UK
Publication date: 28/02/2008